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Reality. What a Concept!

First, we'll go with the NY Times take.

Senators Sharply Question Oil Officials - New York Times

WASHINGTON — Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee vented their fury over high gasoline prices at executives of the nation’s five largest oil companies on Wednesday, grilling the oilmen over their multimillion-dollar pay packages and warning them that Congress was intent on taking action that could include a new tax on so-called windfall profits.

Such showdowns between lawmakers and oil titans have become a familiar routine on Capitol Hill. But with gas prices nearing $4 a gallon, and lawmakers headed home for a weeklong Memorial Day recess where they expect to get an earful from angry constituents, there is added urgency for Congress to appear active.

It's not important to SOLVE the problem, after all - just to LOOK like you're doing something.
At the Judiciary Committee hearing, Democratic senators struggled to have the executives explain how oil prices had risen so high. The senators expressed doubt that basic laws of supply and demand were at work and suggested instead a more sinister combination of monopolistic behavior by oil-producing countries, speculation in the futures markets and sheer corporate greed.
And of the three, guess which is least important?

If you don't like monopolistic behavior by oil-producing countries - why can't we drill for more oil here at home?

The executives pushed back, suggesting that Democrats in Congress were at fault for not allowing more drilling and exploration for domestic oil and insisting that global economic conditions outside their control were mostly responsible for the high prices.

“As repetitive and uninteresting as it may sound, the fundamental laws of supply and demand are at work,” said John Hofmeister, the president of Shell Oil Company. “Oil exporting nations, as has been said, are managing their natural resource development and production to supply their local and global markets in their own self-interest.”

The price goes up because the demand goes up. This is apparently difficult to understand for Democrats in Congress - and they'd rather punish the oil companies because the worldwide price of crude is going through the roof than allow for more drilling in the US.

Look well, my friends, at the clowns playing at managing a crisis. There's no proposal to actually SOLVE the problem - they blame the supplier and then tie their hands so they can't produce more and bring down the price.

This crisis has been a long time coming. During it's approach, there's a number of things that could have been done to mitigate the effects. Each time, however, the 'easy' choice was made. Environmentalists got what they wanted - the squeaky wheels got the grease. Areas were put off-limits. Drilling was forbidden. Each step brought us closer to this, until the tipping point was reached. I think it was about when Katrina hit it became apparent we needed to increase the domestic oil supply - but such a thing was politically unfeasable at the time.

And now - we're in for a hard stretch of it. Pretty soon, people aren't going to care about the environmental aspects of drilling off the coasts or in ANWR. They're going to want to know why we can't. And I don't think the Democrats are going to be able to blame the oil companies for policies they've clearly fostered and encouraged.

They'll try, of course. To do anything else - like actually attempt to solve the problem, will be an admission of error. And that's simply not something that can be done.

Let's look at how CNN's Money reporting was slanted...

Oil executives go before Congress - May. 21, 2008

"You have to sense what you're doing to us - we're on the precipice here, about to fall into recession," said Sen. Richard Durbin, D-Ill. "Does it trouble any one of you - the costs you're imposing on families, on small businesses, on truckers?"

The executives said it did, and that they are doing all they can to bring new oil supplies to market, but that the fundamental reasons for the surge in oil prices are largely out of their control.

"We cannot change the world market," said Robert Malone, chairman and president of BP America Inc. "Today's high prices are linked to the failure both here and abroad to increase supplies, renewables and conservation."

Malone's remarks were echoed by John Hofmeister, president of Shell.

"The fundamental laws of supply and demand are at work," said Hofmeister. The market is squeezed by exporting nations managing demand for their own interest and other nations subsidizing prices to encourage economic growth, he said.

In addition, Hofmeister said access to resources in the United States has been limited for the past 30 years. "I agree, it's not a free market," he said.

The executives pushed the idea that large parts of the U.S. that are currently closed to drilling - like sections of Alaska, the Rocky Mountains and the continental shelf - should be opened.

"The place to start the free market is in our own country," said one executive. [The drilling ban] sets the stage for OPEC to do what we are doing in our own country, and that is effectively limiting supplies."

John Lowe, executive vice president of ConocoPhillips, said Congress should enact a balanced energy policy. In addition to lifting the drilling ban, such a policy could include measures to encourage alternative energy sources, remove the ethanol tariff, promote energy conservation, cut regulations around refining.

"We must work together to find a real solution," said Lowe. "U.S. oil companies should be viewed not as scapegoats, but as assets."

The executives also named several things that Congress should not do, first among them being a hike in taxes or an undoing of the mergers of the late 1990s.

The difference between the NYTimes and CNN Money is that reality is important to money managers. They need the little, petty details that the NYTimes doesn't want to bother with - like the executives giving suggestions on how to get through this.

But what would you want to bet that the Democrats are going to take the absolute worst way out of this? Hike taxes? Maybe even propose nationalization of the oil companies?

I swear, you'd almost think they were on the Saudi payroll.

J.

Comments (2)

Digging around for an item or two for a Congressional Bozosity article I came across some testimony given to the Senate in 1999 that clearly described economic warfare via oil. And what its goals were. And who was doing it... and why.

I do believe that Congresscritters doth pontificate too much by a number of orders of magnitude than all Popes combined.

otpu:

Jerry:

I notice nobody mentioned the fact that there have been no new refineries built in the U.S. in the last 30 years.

The oil prices are up so much because the law of supply and demand has been subverted. Our nation's fuel supply has been artificially restricted at several points in the supply chain by different entities, each with its own set of reasons for choking the supply of fuel but with the same eventual result.

Our fuel supply is governed by many different processes . Raw materials must be extracted (drilling) and then must be converted to a usable form (refining) before they can be shipped to a distributor for sale to the consumer. At each point in the supply chain there are groups of people with either a financial or political interest in restricting supply.

The environmentalists are interested in protecting the environment and the "wild spaces", (both areas being defined as any place where people do not live in large numbers). They will stand in steadfast opposition to any developments that they see as threatening to their core interests.

With the rise of global warming as the primary man-made ecological horror just waiting to destroy all the trees, flowers, and pretty birds Oil field development and new refineries have recently displaced that old perennial favorite nuclear power from the top of their list of “things generally harmful to the environment”.

If anyone attempts to build a refinery or start drilling in a previously undeveloped field anywhere American environmental laws hold sway they can expect lawyers from the various green organizations to camp out on their door step. Eventually the legal defense costs of building a refinery or drilling a well will swamp the real costs of the enterprise.

The Oil companies won’t be investing any large portion of their windfall profits from the current $4.00+ price of gasoline because they are in actual fact not companies.

The so-called oil companies are publicly owned corporations and as such they obey a slightly different version of the law of supply and demand that privately owned companies do.

The difference between a corporation and a company lies in the make up of their customer bases. The customers for the privately held companies are the people they sell stuff to and it is their requirements with regard to the quality and prices of the products they buy that control the demand.

For corporations the real customer is not the person they sell stuff to but the stock holder who owns a percentage of the corporation and demands a return on the investment they have in the company. When you draw a supply demand curve for the corporations it’s not the amount of product that the company makes vs the demand by the people it sells that product to that primarily controls the price. For corporations a second curve is laid over the standard supply / demand curve. The new, and much more important curve to the corporate directors, is the stock holder investment vs dividend curve and that curve controls what the corporation does with its profits.. Because of the stock holder investment vs dividend calculation taking precedence over the normal customer demand vs price curve as the controlling factor any corporate investment that does not immediately result in either increased share price or increased dividend will be discarded.

Currently the oil companies are making roughly a 10% profit. But that 10% profit is based on a production expenditure that is more than twice what it was two years ago. If the oil companies were to invest some of their profits in new refineries and drilling new domestic wells their production prices would begin to fall back to the level they were in 2003 or 2004.

They would still be making a 10% profit on each gallon of gas but at a cost to produce that’s about 50% or less than current prices.

This would result in a precipitous fall in the price of gasoline but would also result in a even more precipitous fall in their investors dividends.

With the greenies and the shareholders both fighting against it there is no way we’re going to see any new refinery construction or oil field development in the next ten years.

Sorry, ain’t going to happen.

otpu

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