"A withdrawal now...will have a horrible end"It would seem there's little or nothing that would be gained by the Iraqis if we were to leave before their state is stable. But then, it's not really about Iraq any more, is it? And it hasn't been for a very long time... It's a convenient FICTION that it's about Iraq, but their 'anti-war' posturing is more a means to an end than a real, principled stance.Yesterday afternoon, I sat down with Alaa Makki, who is one of the lead members of the Sunni block in the Iraqi parliament. As recently as two weeks ago, The Washington Post referred to Dr. Makki as having "close ties with the insurgents," and according to additional reporting from the same source, the Sunni block is threatening to withdraw from the cabinet out of frustration with the political situation--and so to destabilize the government. But Dr. Makki also made some news recently when he spoke out against the terrorist attack on the Iraqi parliament, which was perpetuated by that purported ally of the Sunni, AQI. Indeed, the very Washington Post article that reports his ties with terrorism suggests that Dr. Makki's group is severing its connection with AQI--although the Post worries that the isolation of al Qaeda will turn out to be a bad thing for Iraq's political futures. Be that as it may, I agree that there is cause for frustration in Iraq. Each block has its particular hot button issues, and is fiercely defending its interest. But unlike the Sadrists, who reject all suggestions of negotiation and compromise, Dr. Makki suggested an openness to negotiation and an interest in promoting nationalism rather than sectarianism. A couple of other points to note are his thoughts about the ISF and his reaction to the idea of a swift American withdrawal according to the timetable proposed by congress. Read what he says and see what you think.
They're pandering for votes - nothing more, nothing less. Oh, there MIGHT be a smidgen of principle there, but it's more important to slam Bush, to gain power, to get the CONTROL they see as their due since '00 when they tried to grab the election in Florida. (And to rehash that, there wasn't a single valid count that showed Gore winning, and I'm STILL pissed how they tossed out the military absentee ballots.)
Y'see, this is what I'm really, really disliking about the posturing the Democrats are doing now. They're not looking at ANYTHING but their short-term gains. The Iraqi people be damned, THEY can't vote. They think they can run on a 'Bring the Soldiers Home' platform - but they're overlooking something.
This isn't the '70s. The military's no longer composed of a mix of draftees that didn't want to be there, and folks who enlisted for a variety of reasons, including that most ignoble and maligned by the intelligentsia one - patriotism.
And what they're doing in Iraq is rebuilding a country's political system. The folks over there are getting a crash course in how to be political animals and activists - and that will stick.
You bring them home before they can finish the job - and they're not going to be grateful. They will see the Democratic party as the party which forced a loss in Iraq, as they did in Viet Nam. They will look on as the carnage runs anew in the ME, as Syria and Iran run amok and slice up the state establishing itself in Iraq... without US intervention. They will watch as the Dems make political hay out of it all. And they're going to watch the work that's been done, the progress that's been made, go down the tubes so the Dems can get a few more seats. Losing a war, because a win would be inconvenient.
Wouldn't it be interesting... if these political animals decided enough was enough? I'm not talking military coup - I'm talking folks getting out of the military and deciding to cut the legs out from under the Democratic party. Because they can tell when they're being used for political purposes.
"And, Congressman Moran, 200 of your constituents just arrived back from Afghanistan -- we never got a letter, we never got a visit from you, you didn't come to our homecoming. The only thing we got was a letter from the governor of this state thanking us for our service in Iraq, when we were in Afghanistan. That's reprehensible. I don't know who you two are talking to, but the morale of the troops is very high."And now, there's an even FURTHER restriction - apparently there's new OPSEC regulations, designed to shut down milbloggers - and requiring an OPSEC review for pretty much any non-military electronic communication.What was the response? Murtha said nothing, while Moran attempted to move on, no pun intended, stating: "That wasn't in the form of a question, it was a statement."
It was indeed a statement; a statement from both a constituent and a veteran that should have elicited something more than silence or a dismissive comment highlighting a supposed breach of protocol. This exchange, captured on video (it was on C-SPAN), has since been forwarded from base to base in military circles. It has not been well received there, and it only raises the already high level of frustration among military personnel that their opinions are not being heard.
It's not MEANT to be intrusive, of course... just a reminder of what should already be practiced.
But isn't it odd that this should come down now, after Reid proclaimed we've lost in Iraq? I wouldn't be at all surprised if someone high in the Democratic Party called up someone at the Pentagon and made them an offer they couldn't refuse. "Silence the troops. Or you won't get shit in the budget, ever again."
Don't get me wrong, I think OPSEC is vital. I also think that the poor sod who's given the job of OPSEC manager will be overwhelmed with trying to check emails and blogs - and a blanket proscription wil come down. Confusion will reign - and in a couple of years things will be clarified to the point where blogs are acceptable again.
But for a critical period of time - there will be silence from Iraq.
J.
Comments (4)
Sent a quick email to the WH to help them remember that the Volunteer Citizen Soldier does not give up the right to free speech, just to make sure no one gets hurt or killed in saying some damned fool thing.
Luckily the source that put forward the original had overblown it, but the idea needs to be out there that we honor those that serve this Nation and they do not give up a single right as Citizens when defending us. And we extend same rights to non-Citizens pitching in on our behalf! Much thanks to them, also!
Now I hear people moaning about how 'unserious' the Iraq Parliament is to take a couple of months off. They forget there are Provincial Elections coming up in AUG and that the National Parties are just that: National, not local. Now is the mad scramble to get local party organizing done, candidates found and prepare for the FIRST EVER democratic provincial elections in Iraq. Perhaps the Anbar Salvation Council can form up its own, new party and get some oversight at home, now.
Plus a *lot* of oil is now thought to be in Western Iraq. Japan is already looking to help on that. Suddenly the insurgents and AQI and thugs and Ba'athist redentists are putting the future in jeopardy. Of the six tribes that supported AQI, one has switched this week to join with the other 50 something. The odds are turning against AQI and the rest quickly in Anbar and in Diyala province. These are not 'fishes swimming in a school of fishes' but a small bull shark that has just found itself in a school of very hungry pirhana.
I expect the Provincial Elections will break the National logjam there and cause party realignment, especially to those that have no local basis and a scant few seats in Parliament... like the Sadrists. SCIRI will probably take a major hit, too... actually all the National Parties that have no provincial base will suddenly find themselves in power but with little support.
Yummy Federalism at work!
That will not break sweetness and light, but it will be the tipping point against AQI and the rest, including Iran. The New Iraqi Army has demonstrated capability, trustworthiness and now operates autonomously in three provinces and runs major operations all on its lonesome. A good bet is that Basra will soon become the worse place as Anbar gets out of the picture... the UK did a horrible job there and the Iranian agents are chock-a-block in the local police. Expect the New Iraqi Army to move in there after Anbar cools down a bit more and Diyala is kept more or less secure. Basra is on the list... the last place to run to for Iranian agents.
Bombing the Parliament was a very, very, very bad move by AQI. Threatened politicians suddenly got very serious. Give the place a decade or two and it might even look as peaceful as Egypt or Turkey... those get a lot of low level terrorism, it just doesn't make headlines here.
Japan took about 10 years to get turned around to democracy, the Philippines about the same if not a smidge longer... Germany, maybe, someday...
Posted by ajacksonian | May 4, 2007 5:21 PM
Posted on May 4, 2007 17:21
I made a phone call to the WH and Congress (toll free: 866-340-9281) the day this broke. I wrote a pretty scathing article myself. They already did this! Twice! Good grief, and they wonder why we are losing the hearts and minds of Americans? I haven't seen worse PR since...since...I don't know!
Have a nice day.
Posted by Rosemary | May 5, 2007 7:04 AM
Posted on May 5, 2007 07:04
OT: I'm just wondering, what catergory do you fall into? I'm trying to link you to my site, but I need to find out if you are a milblogger, a news person (blogger), or what are you? You can reach me here.Thank you.
Posted by Rosemary | May 5, 2007 7:29 AM
Posted on May 5, 2007 07:29
Rosemary - The PR handlind is awful on the part of the Administration and the Armed Forces. That twit that has tried to keep Michael Yon out of Iraq is a serious contender for 'absolutely clueless on PR'.
If you are addressing myself on categories, I defy them. I am a one man political party, so at least I have *some* platform I can agree with someplace. And I continue to offer Dumb Looks Still Free to all and sundry everywhere who need some sort of 'clue for the clueless'.
The General Specialist and the Special Generalist, dats me!
If not, well... so be it!
Really can't drop a line until its known who you are asking things of...
Posted by ajacksonian | May 5, 2007 1:40 PM
Posted on May 5, 2007 13:40