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Refusing nuance paralysis.

Down in Rusted Sky: The building of hatred... AJacksonian commented as follows....

The question of 'why do they hate us?' is one that is disingenuous as it tries to figure out 'intent' rather than judge actions. I do not care why the act the way they do, it is barbarous and there is NO justification nor reason for it. And trying to convince me that the hatred of barbarians can be ended by *talk* and *finding out why they hate us so* is that of asking for being killed, not in stopping the killers.

I agree that the old conception of Total War is not the answer to this kind of conflict. War is required, but a reformulation of much older warfare that is *also* asymmetrical and unstoppable and finds ways to cut off enemies from supplies and goods and commerce. That requires that we think a bit more like the early Rebublic and then recast those thoughts into the 21st Century. A civilied method of fighting and winning is available... just *not* the one we have been told is the *only* one available. It isn't... not to the Republic of Free People living under the Constitution of the United States. We have *more* options because... well... we had a rough upbringing and needed to take down mere bullies from time to time, and keep the powder of the military dry for bigger things. When Law Enforcement, Force of Arms, Diplomacy, and All other Lawful parts of Government prove ineffective at fighting... then it is time for that *other* war power to come out... the one where Citizens take down the little bullies so the military can take out the Giants amongst Nations.

And my reply was thus...
As I've said in other posts, I don't care why they hate us. It's sufficient to know that they do, and that they intend to do whatever they can to destroy us.

I realize that's pretty short on nuance. And it doesn't look at root causes. And it doesn't seek to find some way to placate people who will gladly accept the offered bribe and slit your throat anyway.

When we realize as a country that we're in danger, when the threat becomes really apparent and impossible to ignore, when it becomes time to either fight or die as a nation - then all gentility and concern for civilian deaths will go out the window. We will, for a time, become as ruthless (or more so) as our enemies, and then revert afterward to the peaceful people we normally are.

But until we wake up, it's going to be one provocation after another, until we're miserable and angry while the 'peace' activists try to get us to placate the head-hackers by tossing out the Western politicians they blame for what's happened. But eventually a tipping point will be reached. Then we'll get pissed, then we'll be out for blood.

J.

And when that happens, it's going to get real damn messy. There's a lot of tactics and weaponry we haven't used yet because of the civilian casualties that would ensue. It doesn't mean we don't know them or haven't built them - it simply means that we're trying to spare the civilians as much as possible. Like we did the Russian people in the Cold War.

In 1979 our C-130 was waiting at the terminal at the Istanbul airport. I watched as an Aeroflot airliner (badly in need of paint or polish...) was parked at the gate next to ours. I watched as it unloaded a bunch of shabbily dressed, beat-down looking folks. I remember thinking it was wierd - they looked so... ordinary. And they didn't even seem to take any notice of the USAF C-130 next to them.

They seemed ordinary. And they were. Subjects of a totalitarian government, they had little choice in their lives.

And now we're faced with a totalitarian religion. I really believe that there's quite a large number of folks within that religion who don't much care for the perpetual state of jihad their leaders are continually provoking, and (like most of us) would love to be left alone to worship as they please. But that's just not possible now. And there's a good possibility that it may never be that way again. The radicals in Islam have essentially defined the whole religion. And that's a shame, because a whole lot of good folks are going to die before the memes they've spawned and spread can be rooted out. There's several branches, but they all share certain defining characteristics, and I made light of them in my Rusted Sky: D&D Alignments in the WoT post. And Jason somewhat agreed with me, but thinks I don't pay enough attention to the differences between Hezbollah, Hamas, and Al Quaeda.

Once again, you have stressed the similarities between the three while gliding over the differences. How about this one:
Hezbollah has a political constituency. In the actual government and on the ground in Lebanon, they serve the local people in many ways, and have the support of those people. In this respect, Hezbollah resembles a state in many respects. Al-Quaeda is a stateless organization. It exists in many countries, and it is at home in none. In all of the Middle East, they were forced to hide largely with the Taliban in Afghanistan. And the Taliban didn't even like those guys.
I think perhaps it would be better to look closely at these differences, and at the strengths and especially weaknesses that they present. That would be more effective, in terms of actually winning the war instead of fighting it for 60 years, than calling both "the enemy" and leaving it at that.
I think if the battles ONLY sixty years long, we'll be doing damn good. As I've said, I think this is a generational war. And my reply to the above was...
Jason, I really don't much give a rip about their differences. They're against freedom for others, they're for the imposition of their way of life on everyone in the area, with death for those who don't accept it. Israel's trying to exist, Hez and Hamas are trying to destroy it. Al Quaeda wants to destroy Western civilization. That's not sufficiently nuanced, I know.

Radical Islam's a malignant belief system. I don't much care if Hezbollah's marketing themselves as the good guys in Lebanon - I don't care if they run blood donation centers. Under that lovely Hezbollah flag, they've co-opted a significant portion of Lebanon and it doesn't look like they're going to give up their weaponry IAW the UN cease fire - so what you've got is a private militia taking over part of a country, and giving the world the finger.

That makes it real hard for me to believe that deep down they're really peaceful, and it's just those damn Jews that are the problem.

Sometimes it's possible to nuance yourself into immobility. They're depending on that sort of response from the world. Nobody does anything, believing in the magical power of a UN cease fire, while they prepare for the resumption of hostilities with goods from Syria and Iran. In fact, I wouldn't be at all suprised if they're doing resupply runs now. After all, this is just a hudna. And UN resolutions and cease fires... well, we know how much THEY count.

I am not worried about the condition or type of knife held to my throat. What I am concerned with is the fact that the knife is being held to my throat.

Something like that DOES tend to concentrate your attention. And I'm pretty sure that, as Al Quaeda learned, you REALLY don't want the full focus of the US's attention on your mountain hideaway, secret lair or spiderhole. And as of yet, they haven't gotten the FULL focus.

As I said, sometimes it's possible to nuance yourself into immobility. There's a whole lot of people who would insist that all possibilities of any situation be evaluated before any action is taken. Jason has a point, that the differences are important... but my point is that it's pretty much meaningless in the long run uless we actually admit that adherents of a peculair sect of Islam's the enemy, and And again I'm falling asleep in my chair here. I'm headed to bed - discuss amongst yourselves. Don't wreck the joint, okay? And take out the trash and turn off the coffeepot when you leave...

J.

Comments (17)

otpu:

Motivationally all the radical Muslims share at least one common trait, they believe that Israel, the U.S.A., and the rest of the non-Muslim world, in that order, are blaphemously interfering with Allah's plan for Muslim world dominance. Furthermore the inhabitants of the Western World continue to insult the world's Muslims by refusing to acknowledge that Islam has special understanding of the intentions of the Creator as to how to lead a righteous life.

Obviously any dog, pig, monkey, or person who holds any idea contrary to the revealed word of Allah must be killed.

As long as this is a popular idea within the adherants of Islam we are in deadly danger. Hezbollah, Hamas, and Al Qaeda are acting with all the fervor of the Spanish Inquisition, only this time they have rockets, machine guns, and explosives plus they are working on an atomic bomb.

pray for sanity

otpu

I guess I don't know what you think victory looks like in this "war."

It seems to me that victory will come from fighting smart. Your "anti-naunce" rhetoric is fine for goading people to take the threat seriously, but it doesn't seem to help much in terms of winning. Your fond of saying things like "it gets messy."

Basically, I feel like you think we need to accept that we're going to be fighting an entire religion for the rest of human history, and that we just need to accept all the terrible things that go with that as the miserable reality of war.

That's certainly the President's rheotric as well. I would think that this kind of talk would be obviously harmful to actual efforts to, you know, win.

By the way, here's one commenter discussing how Israel's lack of, well, nuance has resulted in their worst defeat ever.

http://www.belgraviadispatch.com/2006/08/the_isrealilebanese_denouement.html

What will winning look like? When mosques no longer echo with chants of "Death to the Infidel". When the heroes of Islam are the peacemakers, the ones who preach co-existance instead of head-hacking jihad. When Israel and Arab nations can live peacefully side by side.

That work for you?

J.

I believe Israel's problem was a lack of determination to do everything - and I mean EVERYTHING - it would take to win. Mindful of bad press, they fought a limited war against an organization which equated simple survival with victory - so it was near impossible for them to 'win' with the media, regardless of what the actual end state was. You'll notice in the media coverage that the only casualties were Lebanese. Never Hezbollah, always Lebanese. Pity the poor Lebanese, being pounded by those bastard Jews for no good reason. And, oddly enough, you didn't see Israel parading it's hurt and dead for the camera, like Hezbollah did.

It's also hard to 'win' when you're fighting an enemy like the Black Knight in "Monty Python and the Holy Grail".

You know, I don't think we'll be fighting Islam for the rest of human history. We'll be playing at fighting it until we reach a tipping point, and THEN we'll pull out everything in the arsenal. Once the survivors are convinced we aren't going to accept Islam and we aren't going to die, we'll acheive a form of peace. And as I've said before, I REALLY hope it doesn't come to that. But I fear it will.

Which is why I say it's going to get messy.

I'm also a bit concerned at the 22 August date that Ahmafrigginnutcase seems to be obsessed with. If he lights off a nuke over Israel, he may well get to his reward sooner than he expects.

Reading your comments - I'm thinking you think there's some magic way we can convince those who want to destroy us to peacefully coexist with us. Can you explain a bit more on that, if I have it right? And if you like, I'll make it a centerpiece of a post.

J.

Don't know how comments got turned off there - I've been having some oddities with the DB for this blog...

Dang, but I don't want to export everything and rebuild...

Hezbollah a 'political' organization? Dear me! And they then act independently against the good will and wishes of their Sovereign Nation in which they are a party? That is a *criminal* activity at least and a subversive or revolutionary one in the main conception of it. Hamas *also* was a 'political party' and what have *they* done to fix the streets, get the sewers working and, generally, get some order amongst their populace? And why do they attack from their Sovereign territory another Nation State? Can't they have the good honor to do that thing that is required and declare war? They ARE the leaders of their Nation, such as it is.

Unfortunately all of these organizations, from State sponsored Hamas and Hezbollah, to semi-independent al Qaeda to the Moro Islamic Liberation Front and FARC and Shining path all have very similar goals and traits: they seek to undermine the legitimacy of Nations to rule as Sovereigns for their People. Terrorists do this from the outside of Nations and in the interstices between Nations and use low cost goods and communications to work their will. They each have differing end-goals, but they each require that the Nation State concept be diminished or removed so that they can reach those goals. The Islamic Fascistic/Imperial concept of a return of Caliphate is a common goal for them, although *which* sect/school/splinter group will actually lead the Caliphate is something they intend to work out afterwards. Similarly Shining Path and other Red/Maoist/Stalinist/Leninist groups seek to remove the concept of National Sovereignty and install themselves over the workers to work 'the will of the people'. FARC, more along the Capitalist lines, wishes to remove the effectiveness of law enforcement and military interdiction so as to gain market-share against their more Nation-oriented brethern in the Far East (who work within the concepts of Nations while breaking the laws of them, but understand that their bread and butter is normal commerce). Throw in the more-or-less Nationalist groups, like ETA, the various IRA's and similar, that are more than willing to train outside their Nations and work with other terrorist organizations so that they can weaken their home government both at home and abroad by being uncontrollable by it.

They have a Transnationalist conception of the world. They each have a ruling group/elite/religion/gang that they want at the top. They use common means and methodologies and work together across ideological boundaries. They are Transnational Terrorists, brothers to those working *inside* of Nations to undermine them, the Transnational Progressivists.

The ones who cannot see the fundamental difference between the rule of law and those that obey no laws and seek to undermine the compacts of Nations that establish laws, they are the ones who say there is 'moral equivalence' between conflict via Jus ad bellum and barbaric terrorism. To both of these transnationalist groups they have commonality that there should be no borders, no nations and that people are *born* into classes and groups. And they both, organizationally, wish to put their group on top. This is a pure refusal to accept the Peace of Westphalia and replace it with barbaric warlord states and Empires.

THAT is their connectivity. Without Sovereign States you have no liberty. No Empire has ever been made that is not authoritarian. Wishing for 'no borders' and 'one world' is the exact same thing as wishing for a 'global Caliphate' or a 'workers global paradise' save for having a different ruling group. If you like your rights, you support Westphalia, the diplomacy that has grown up around it, the understanding of interactions between Nations as being supreme activities beyond what is allowable for individuals. Ask to find out 'why they hate us' and you find out it is not hate... but the desire to *rule* that motivates such because they have no such rights within their Nations now. Because they do not resist nor supplant their governments with something better, they seek to return to Empire, and authority of their supported group over everyone else. They fail themselves and then blame *anyone* but themselves for that failure.

That is why when I look at Iraq The Model I am impressed with what they tell us happening on the Arabic part of the 'net... their fellows in surrounding Nations are looking at them and basically asking: you CAN actually do this? These people in various totalitarian or authoritarian States have been told, for generations, that they have *nothing* and little value to their Nation and are to *serve* the Nation they live in. Usually by threat of force. Breaking that grip is not easy and is *not* the end point, but it may be a *turning* point.

Until then, We the People can use the older and honorable form of State sanctioned warfare, empower individuals and companies, and hunt down terrorists, shut off their supplies, make their suppliers lose money and generally get the point across that there is NO profit to be made in attacking the Free People of the United States. Target the goods and transport and you end the legitimacy of working with terrorists and barbarians. The military is not made for that and cannot do that against non-Nation States. But We the People can when given Warrants and then Letters to do so. The terrorists all boast of their courage and bravery in killing innocent women and children... and that the West has no bravery, at all. It is time to let them feel the this Republic has that, and individuals willing to line up to hunt them down for fair reward. This 20th Century Republic is a great weight lifter for heavy loads at short times... but for distance and perserverence we need to rework ourselves into 19th Century fitness: or the road to barbarism will be our end.

Ben USN (ret):

What gets me is the "we can't stoop to their level" argument.
We can be a helluva lot more determined without ever stooping to their level.
We don't target children and civilians.
We don't train our children to hate and consider fellow humans monsters that need to be killed,
from birth.
We don't abuse women and children.
We don't consider women as less than equal.
We don't kill someone for changing beliefs, being gay, protesting, not saying prayers 5 times a day, etc..
We don't kill women for being raped, or talking to a man without our permission.
I could go on, but the point is, we will never stoop to their level, but we can be alot more ruthless.
I blame all collateral damage on the terrorists, where the blame belongs.

Jerry, you say that Isreal could have "won" if they'd done "everything necessary." Can you be more specific on how you would like to have seen Israel fight? The article I linked to asserted that Hezbollah was not going to be eliminated even by massive carpet-bombing... you might disagree. I'd like to hear specifics.

Not until you reply to the things I asked you, Jason.

But here's a hint.

Total war.

Hell, everyone hates those damn Jews anyway without good reason, why not make it worth being hated?

J.

AJacksonian -

Very well reasoned argument there.

I wonder if issuing letters of marque to 'organizations' willing to eliminate terrorist gangs would work?

(Can you imagine contacting the Mafia and telling them - "We'll buy all the oil you can sell us at $50 a barrel. You keep the profits. Here's your letter of marque." - and the resulting changes in the ME?

J.

Ben -

Remember, we're operating on the binary theory of social equivalence here. Because the US has done bad things in the past, it is forever tainted and unworthy. Therefore, NOTHING we do will ever be good enough.

Whereas, because they can claim they're being 'oppressed', the little brown brothers are automatically given complete protection from anything resembling the sorts of responsibility that the US has to perform up to. But I've commented on THAT before.


Re the colalteral damage - it reminds me of a criminal taking a hostage... then shouting that the police will have the blame if he has to kill the hostage.

J.

Jason -

To expound... Israel's been living under the threat of extermination for decades. Yet they refused to pull out all the stops to fight this war. Hezbollah was doing EVERYTHING it could weapon-wise. If they had a kitchen sink full of explosives and the means to deliver it, they would have.

But IDF counterbattery fire gave them a better option - get the IDF to target civilians by firing from between houses, stores, buildings... anyplace that would maximize the civilian losses when the IDF returned fire. And then have the media on hand to record the carnage.

What should the IDF have done? Hell if I know - but I've got some ideas.

First, make a general announcement that counterbattery fire WOULD happen. And that if the local civilians didn't want to lose their homes or shops or whatever, that THEY needed to stop Hezbollah from firing from those areas. Establish a free tipline, so if Hezbollah showed up and started setting up, you could call the IDF and get a drone with a Hellfire missile to take out the Hezbollah folk with a minimum of collateral damage. Make it VERY clear that they were after Hezbollah - and that Hezbollah was putting Lebanese civilians in danger by using them as human shields.

Second - ratchet up the PR machine. Remind the world DAILY that Hezbollah was hiding behind Lebanese civilians. Have a website where every possible video from every possible IDF source would be available for every operation. Show the reasons behind every target, if possible. And remind the world constantly that Hezbollah fires rockets at random, while they try their damndest to only take out military targets.

To continue the infowar meme, tell the world in advance and repeatedly that while the Palestinians parade their dead - repeatedly - their customs won't allow it. Constantly emphasize the difference between the IDF and Hezbollah.

That'll help some. How much, I don't know.

J.

Your last comment, here, Jerry, is very encouraging. These are specific details, and I agree with most of them.

My main point in this exchange is that a detailed approach is important. Understanding our potential friends and foes is important to enlisting and eliminating them (repsectively).

PR is vital, because short of blowing up all the muslims, we need a whole lot of muslims (and non-muslims who happen to be Arabs or Persians) to be on our side. Or at least, for them not to be our enemies.

So, I come back to my original point: We need to be encourging people to think about details, INCLUDING differences between our enemies so that we can develop detailed strategies and tactics for victory.

J - The Warrant system used is set and defined by Congress. So the mafia, being transnational in its outlook and use, are out. However, I would say that mercenary organizations composed and run by Americans and Incorporated in America and held accountable by Congress are much more likely to see a good profit by goods seizure and either getting bounty or by 'auction', the latter of which is the tried and true method of liquidating assets. Seizing oil? If from a Nation supporting terrorism, then yes. The Letters are *not* transferable... and while a bribe might work *once* the chances of you going unnoticed in a non-fulfilled Letter are slim to none. Thus you would *become* a target of the Nation's military by committing and act of Treason. That is why US Citizens are the limiting factor. We handle these bullies *ourselves* and don't depend on no-account mafioso or such. And if you try to go Corsair... you get the age old punishment of death.

As I have pointed out it is an old formula that only goes wrong when accountability cannot be ensured. The world now makes that a much easier thing to do and stops Privateers from turning Pirate because of the rewards for turning in Pirates is *also* high. Turn on your Nation and you get what is coming to you... and for all the romanticism of Pirates, only ONE scored more than 10 ships as booty. And even he died by the Navy of a Nation he went against, so all the booty did him little good.

This is the era the terrorists wish to bring back to the world... and we can either say it isn't real and find ourselves with terrorists everywhere... or start to actually *deal* with them. I trust my fellow Citizens to do that... and those that can't be trusted will find the pointy end headed their way of those they betrayed.

Jason:

Oh, stuff a sock in it, man. I ask YOU for ideas, and you hand-wave and applaud that I finally gave details about what I was thinking. And you agree with my points! That must mean that you're right, and I'm eventually going to come around to your way of thinking on the rest of things, right?

"Very encouraging". Thank you so very much. I exist only to win your approval.

/sarc

J.

AJacksonian -

Well, scratch that bright idea then...

(Guess this explains why I'm not a member of the Diplomatic Corps...)

J.

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